Awareness of the environment for the day

Tuesday, June 27, 2023

beginner income

t f B! P L
As I mentioned in the Flash Crash article, we do not recommend carrying over positions (swing trades).

So, I recommend day trading or scalping on this blog.
In day trading and scalping, it is important to recognize which trend is more likely to occur today.

Displays a daily candlestick chart and displays the following indicators:
  • 5 SMA (5-day simple moving average line)
We don't need a long-term moving average line because we consider whether the candlestick on the 1st day is a positive line or a negative line. The reason for the 5th is that FX is a week in 5 business days.


Analysis of the 5 SMA reveals the following properties:
  • Condition ①: The slope of 5 SMA is upward and the opening price is above 5 SMA
There is a high probability that a white candlestick will appear
  • Condition ②: The slope of 5 SMA is downward and the opening price is below 5 SMA
There is a high probability that a black candlestick will appear

If you dig a little deeper into ①②, you can see that there are properties.
  • Condition ③: When the opening price deviates from 5 SMA
It tries to approach 5 SMA once.

 


Therefore, if the trading policy for the day is as follows, the winning rate will increase.
  • In the case of condition ①: buy policy
  • In the case of condition ②: selling policy
  • In the case of conditions ① and ③: buy policy after waiting for 5 SMA to approach
  • In the case of conditions ② and ③: Selling policy after waiting for 5 SMA to approach
  • Otherwise (if the slope of the 5 SMA is poor): refrain from trading.

Please try once.

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自己紹介

A 40-year-old office worker living in Japan. While searching for a way to live in Japan, where taxes and prices are rising, he encounters FX. Before the Lehman Brothers shock, the yen tended to depreciate and he could easily earn money, but he lost all his investment due to the Lehman Brothers shock. Since then, I'm focused on how to survive and make money rather than win or lose.

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